Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs McBain 46.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 65.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 63.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Goodrow
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Goodrow
McBain
Last 8: Goodrow 2-6 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
4
Goodrow
McBain
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Goodrow
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
48.0% (2,298)
+4.3%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
49.0% (51)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
35.7% (308)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McBain
Home
51.9% (2,109)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Goodrow
McBain
P1
50.5%
46.7%
P2
49.2%
47.5%
P3
51.3%
45.6%
OT
35.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |