Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Spezza 52.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 61.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 79.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 57.2%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Goodrow
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goodrow
Spezza
Last 5: Goodrow 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Goodrow
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Goodrow
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
53.7% (451)
-4.4%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
54.3% (92)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
38.2% (34)
+8.0%
On power play, Goodrow has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Spezza
Home
50.6% (385)
55.0% (282)
Away
48.0% (356)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Goodrow
Spezza
P1
49.1%
53.1%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
52.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |