Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.3% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 58.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 81.2%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 68.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Goodrow
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Goodrow
Pavelski
Last 8: Goodrow 2-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
4
Goodrow
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Goodrow
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (535)
54.4% (474)
-2.1%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
51.9% (104)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (209)
52.7% (74)
-8.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Goodrow is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Goodrow shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Pavelski
Home
52.9% (361)
54.3% (313)
Away
46.1% (438)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Goodrow
Pavelski
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
48.1%
51.9%
P3
51.1%
58.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |