Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 78.2%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 54.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Goodrow
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Goodrow
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
52.5% (570)
-3.2%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
54.5% (145)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
44.4% (36)
+1.8%
On power play, Goodrow has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Pavelski
Home
50.6% (385)
55.0% (391)
Away
48.0% (356)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Goodrow
Pavelski
P1
49.1%
50.8%
P2
46.9%
55.0%
P3
52.3%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |