Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.0% vs Pavelski 51.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Goodrow leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 81.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 65.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 57.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Goodrow
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Goodrow
Pavelski
Last 10: Goodrow 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
6
Goodrow
Pavelski
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
6
1
Goodrow
Pavelski
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (165)
53.5% (508)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
51.7% (118)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (152)
41.4% (70)
+5.3%
On power play, Goodrow has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Goodrow is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Goodrow shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Pavelski
Home
48.3% (149)
54.3% (372)
Away
51.4% (175)
49.4% (324)
By Period
Goodrow
Pavelski
P1
52.6%
48.7%
P2
43.2%
57.7%
P3
53.0%
50.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |