Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Norris 51.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 79.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 60.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 61.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Goodrow
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Goodrow
Norris
Last 5: Goodrow 4-1 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
1
Goodrow
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
51.2% (886)
-1.9%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
59.0% (83)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
38.8% (67)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Norris
Home
50.6% (385)
55.6% (487)
Away
48.0% (356)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Goodrow
Norris
P1
49.1%
54.8%
P2
46.9%
51.3%
P3
52.3%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Josh Norris |