Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Hischier 56.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 83.6%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 72.6%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Goodrow
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Goodrow
Hischier
Last 9: Goodrow 5-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Goodrow
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
0
Goodrow
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
56.1% (1,018)
-0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
59.9% (289)
-26.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
51.3% (80)
-6.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hischier
Home
57.2% (332)
56.5% (706)
Away
50.3% (292)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Goodrow
Hischier
P1
50.8%
54.8%
P2
59.5%
57.8%
P3
51.8%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |