Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Acciari 53.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 77.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Goodrow
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Goodrow
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
56.7% (393)
-6.7%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
33.3% (3)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
48.0% (202)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Goodrow is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Goodrow shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Acciari
Home
40.0% (130)
54.5% (279)
Away
45.9% (122)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Goodrow
Acciari
P1
48.8%
56.9%
P2
35.0%
51.4%
P3
44.8%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |