Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Koivula 47.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Koivula leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivula 74.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 57.8%
Neutral zone
Koivula 57.6%
Result
Otto Koivula favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Goodrow
Koivula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Goodrow
Koivula
Last 10: Goodrow 3-7 Koivula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivula
1
3
Goodrow
Koivula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Koivula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivula
1
3
Goodrow
Koivula
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Koivula
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
42.0% (50)
+7.3%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
0.0% (1)
+64.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
100.0% (1)
-53.8%
On power play, Goodrow has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivula shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Koivula is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Koivula
Home
50.6% (385)
43.8% (48)
Away
48.0% (356)
25.0% (4)
By Period
Goodrow
Koivula
P1
49.1%
37.5%
P2
46.9%
52.6%
P3
52.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
23.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Koivula
54.0%▲
42.8%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Otto Koivula |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Otto Koivula |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Otto Koivula |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Otto Koivula |