Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 77.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 53.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Goodrow
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Goodrow
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Goodrow
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
59.2% (370)
-9.9%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
40.9% (44)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
51.7% (58)
-5.5%
On power play, Goodrow has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Goodrow shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Stastny
Home
50.6% (385)
57.7% (215)
Away
48.0% (356)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Goodrow
Stastny
P1
49.1%
57.7%
P2
46.9%
54.2%
P3
52.3%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |