Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Nash 51.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 52.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 57.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Goodrow
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goodrow
Nash
Last 5: Goodrow 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
54.1% (292)
-4.8%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
57.1% (7)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
45.9% (98)
+0.3%
On power play, Goodrow has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nash
Home
50.6% (385)
56.3% (183)
Away
48.0% (356)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Goodrow
Nash
P1
49.1%
58.9%
P2
46.9%
51.0%
P3
52.3%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Riley Nash |