Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Johansen 58.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 78.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 64.3%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Goodrow
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Goodrow
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Goodrow
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Goodrow
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
59.8% (625)
-13.0%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
58.2% (196)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
51.9% (27)
-9.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Johansen
Home
44.3% (314)
60.3% (436)
Away
47.7% (279)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Goodrow
Johansen
P1
46.8%
61.3%
P2
44.0%
60.4%
P3
47.1%
56.0%
OT
40.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |