Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 67.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Goodrow
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Goodrow
Seguin
Last 5: Goodrow 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Goodrow
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
0
Goodrow
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Goodrow
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
56.9% (478)
-1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.4% (54)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
51.3% (76)
-6.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Seguin
Home
57.2% (332)
57.4% (317)
Away
50.3% (292)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Goodrow
Seguin
P1
50.8%
50.3%
P2
59.5%
60.4%
P3
51.8%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |