Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Groulx 45.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 66.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 68.2%
Neutral zone
Groulx 50.8%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayton
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Groulx
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Groulx
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
3
Hayton
Groulx
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
46.1% (371)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
37.5% (8)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
36.9% (84)
+8.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Hayton
Groulx
Home
52.9% (2,268)
49.8% (241)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
38.3% (222)
By Period
Hayton
Groulx
P1
52.0%
45.3%
P2
51.4%
44.8%
P3
49.9%
42.9%
OT
58.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |