Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Groulx 45.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.1%
Defensive zone
Groulx 69.4%
Neutral zone
Groulx 50.2%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Hayton
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Groulx
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Groulx
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
3
Hayton
Groulx
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
43.7% (222)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
60.0% (5)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
43.8% (48)
-1.4%
On power play, Groulx has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Hayton
Groulx
Home
47.4% (171)
49.6% (129)
Away
51.4% (247)
39.0% (146)
By Period
Hayton
Groulx
P1
49.6%
43.6%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
49.0%
43.4%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |