Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Point 48.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 62.8%
Defensive zone
Point 65.5%
Neutral zone
Point 58.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Hayton
Point
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayton
Point
Last 7: Hayton 2-5 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
2
Hayton
Point
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
0
2
Hayton
Point
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Point
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
47.8% (736)
+4.8%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
51.0% (143)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
71.4% (7)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Hayton
Point
Home
53.9% (516)
49.7% (471)
Away
54.4% (504)
47.2% (415)
By Period
Hayton
Point
P1
55.1%
46.6%
P2
55.0%
51.7%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
OT
69.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |