Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Jarnkrok 51.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 71.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Hayton
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hayton
Jarnkrok
Last 8: Hayton 3-5 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Hayton
Jarnkrok
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
2
Hayton
Jarnkrok
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Jarnkrok
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
51.8% (326)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
54.4% (79)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
43.5% (62)
-0.1%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Hayton
Jarnkrok
Home
48.8% (424)
53.0% (281)
Away
47.5% (438)
48.4% (186)
By Period
Hayton
Jarnkrok
P1
52.9%
51.6%
P2
47.3%
50.6%
P3
44.1%
51.5%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |