Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Sillinger 46.7% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 88.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 78.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Hayton
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Sillinger
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Sillinger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Sillinger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
46.5% (535)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
46.7% (30)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
43.5% (85)
+9.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Hayton
Sillinger
Home
53.9% (516)
48.7% (339)
Away
54.4% (504)
43.4% (311)
By Period
Hayton
Sillinger
P1
55.1%
46.3%
P2
55.0%
47.9%
P3
51.7%
44.0%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |