Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Helm 46.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 80.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 66.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 84.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Hayton
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Helm
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Helm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Helm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Helm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
39.3% (61)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
53.8% (13)
-8.8%
On even strength, Hayton has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Hayton
Helm
Home
54.6% (639)
35.1% (37)
Away
47.2% (591)
48.6% (37)
By Period
Hayton
Helm
P1
50.9%
17.6%
P2
52.7%
40.0%
P3
49.9%
59.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |