Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Strome 51.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 27-20 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 65.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 75.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Hayton
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
27
(47 meetings)
20
27
Hayton
Strome
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
19
Hayton
Strome
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
11
3
Hayton
Strome
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
7
5
Hayton
Strome
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
50.1% (6,337)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
58.4% (1,519)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
45.6% (68)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Hayton
Strome
Home
52.9% (2,268)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Hayton
Strome
P1
52.0%
50.4%
P2
51.4%
52.1%
P3
49.9%
52.3%
OT
58.1%
52.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |