Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 72.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 74.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Hayton
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hayton
Lindholm
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
4
Hayton
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
3
Hayton
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
54.4% (722)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.2% (164)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
49.4% (83)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lindholm
Home
56.9% (432)
55.8% (541)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Hayton
Lindholm
P1
53.1%
54.8%
P2
50.3%
55.7%
P3
55.4%
55.6%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |