Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Minten 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 74.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 66.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Hayton
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Minten
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Minten
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Minten
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
49.6% (603)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
45.8% (48)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
32.6% (43)
+4.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Hayton
Minten
Home
56.9% (432)
51.6% (322)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.4% (372)
By Period
Hayton
Minten
P1
53.1%
44.9%
P2
50.3%
46.6%
P3
55.4%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |