Barrett Hayton vs Fraser Minten
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Minten 48.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 64.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 68.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Hayton
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Minten
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Minten
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Minten
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
48.8% (793)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
45.8% (59)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
34.0% (47)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Hayton
Minten
Home
52.9% (2,268)
51.2% (449)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
44.4% (450)
By Period
Hayton
Minten
P1
52.0%
44.0%
P2
51.4%
46.4%
P3
49.9%
52.1%
OT
58.1%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |