Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Miller 54.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 62.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 72.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 69.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Hayton
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Hayton
Miller
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
3
Hayton
Miller
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
8
Hayton
Miller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
55.2% (6,648)
-4.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
57.9% (1,285)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
48.2% (913)
-3.0%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Home / Away
Hayton
Miller
Home
52.9% (2,268)
55.9% (4,578)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
53.8% (4,268)
By Period
Hayton
Miller
P1
52.0%
54.7%
P2
51.4%
55.6%
P3
49.9%
54.0%
OT
58.1%
62.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |