Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Miller 54.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 66.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 54.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Hayton
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hayton
Miller
Last 9: Hayton 5-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
1
Hayton
Miller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Hayton
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Hayton
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
55.7% (589)
-4.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.9% (138)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
47.2% (159)
-2.2%
On power play, Miller has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Hayton
Miller
Home
54.6% (639)
56.1% (440)
Away
47.2% (591)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Hayton
Miller
P1
50.9%
52.3%
P2
52.7%
54.7%
P3
49.9%
57.2%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |