Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.7% vs Drury 57.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 59.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 90.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 83.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Hayton
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayton
Drury
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Drury
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Hayton
Drury
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (628)
60.8% (659)
-7.9%
Power Play
57.3% (110)
40.0% (10)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
49.7% (155)
-12.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Hayton is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Hayton shoots left. Drury is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Hayton
Drury
Home
57.9% (413)
59.2% (407)
Away
47.4% (344)
57.8% (417)
By Period
Hayton
Drury
P1
53.4%
59.1%
P2
50.9%
57.6%
P3
55.6%
58.8%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
54.0%▬
53.0%
53.1%
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |