Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Drury 57.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 69.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 92.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 88.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Hayton
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayton
Drury
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Drury
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Hayton
Drury
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
61.2% (667)
-8.7%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
40.0% (10)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
49.0% (157)
-12.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Hayton
Drury
Home
56.9% (432)
59.2% (407)
Away
47.4% (344)
58.1% (427)
By Period
Hayton
Drury
P1
53.1%
59.0%
P2
50.3%
57.7%
P3
55.4%
59.1%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |