Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Eichel 45.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 79.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 69.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 79.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Hayton
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Eichel
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
45.9% (1,044)
+6.7%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
55.9% (59)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
39.7% (151)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Hayton
Eichel
Home
53.9% (516)
46.5% (606)
Away
54.4% (504)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Hayton
Eichel
P1
55.1%
47.2%
P2
55.0%
46.9%
P3
51.7%
42.7%
OT
69.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2024 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |