Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Benn 59.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 89.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 55.0%
Neutral zone
Benn 69.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Hayton
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayton
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Hayton
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
61.8% (584)
-10.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
56.7% (224)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
56.1% (57)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Hayton
Benn
Home
54.6% (639)
64.4% (433)
Away
47.2% (591)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Hayton
Benn
P1
50.9%
61.8%
P2
52.7%
59.6%
P3
49.9%
59.2%
OT
41.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |