Barrett Hayton vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.4%). Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 57.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
51.8% (637)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
48.2% (56)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
42.9% (7)
+2.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
Home
54.6% (639)
53.1% (339)
Away
47.2% (591)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Hayton
Kotkaniemi
P1
50.9%
48.3%
P2
52.7%
55.0%
P3
49.9%
50.4%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |