Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Khaira 48.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 67.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 72.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Hayton
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Khaira
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Khaira
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Khaira
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
50.2% (251)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
52.6% (19)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
37.5% (48)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Khaira is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Hayton
Khaira
Home
54.6% (639)
48.0% (150)
Away
47.2% (591)
48.8% (168)
By Period
Hayton
Khaira
P1
50.9%
51.0%
P2
52.7%
50.9%
P3
49.9%
43.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |