Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs O'Connor 48.2% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.2%
Defensive zone
O'Connor 59.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Hayton
O'Connor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
O'Connor
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
58.8% (17)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
40.4% (47)
+2.0%
On even strength, O'Connor has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Connor shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. O'Connor is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Hayton
O'Connor
Home
47.4% (171)
46.9% (32)
Away
51.4% (247)
43.8% (32)
By Period
Hayton
O'Connor
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
42.3%
P3
49.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
O'Connor
44.0%▲
36.9%
45.3%