Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Bourque 46.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 81.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 68.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 75.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Hayton
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hayton
Bourque
Last 7: Hayton 5-2 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Bourque
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Bourque
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Bourque
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
47.0% (181)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
25.0% (16)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
42.9% (7)
-6.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bourque
Home
56.9% (432)
41.9% (105)
Away
47.4% (344)
48.5% (99)
By Period
Hayton
Bourque
P1
53.1%
39.7%
P2
50.3%
39.3%
P3
55.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |