Barrett Hayton vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Dubois 49.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 56.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 52.9%
Neutral zone
Dubois 55.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Hayton
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
3
Hayton
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
46.2% (225)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
66.7% (27)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
75.0% (8)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dubois
Home
56.9% (432)
46.6% (163)
Away
47.4% (344)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Hayton
Dubois
P1
53.1%
45.0%
P2
50.3%
52.3%
P3
55.4%
50.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |