Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Poehling 46.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Hayton
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Hayton
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Hayton
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
46.5% (269)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
66.7% (3)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
42.4% (139)
+2.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Hayton
Poehling
Home
54.6% (639)
45.2% (177)
Away
47.2% (591)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Hayton
Poehling
P1
50.9%
47.7%
P2
52.7%
44.4%
P3
49.9%
44.6%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |