Barrett Hayton vs Sasha Chmelevski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chmelevski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Chmelevski 44.5% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.5%
Neutral zone
Chmelevski 50.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hayton
Chmelevski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
Chmelevski
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 Chmelevski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chmelevski
1
2
Hayton
Chmelevski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Chmelevski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Chmelevski
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
35.4% (82)
+15.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
66.7% (3)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
66.7% (6)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Chmelevski has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chmelevski shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Chmelevski is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Hayton
Chmelevski
Home
52.9% (2,268)
34.3% (35)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Hayton
Chmelevski
P1
52.0%
37.0%
P2
51.4%
42.1%
P3
49.9%
34.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Chmelevski
38.0%▬
38.5%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Sasha Chmelevski |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Sasha Chmelevski |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Sasha Chmelevski |