Barrett Hayton vs Sasha Chmelevski
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chmelevski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Chmelevski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Chmelevski 45.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chmelevski 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 56.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Hayton
Chmelevski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
Chmelevski
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 Chmelevski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chmelevski
1
2
Hayton
Chmelevski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Chmelevski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Chmelevski
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
35.7% (70)
+12.4%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
66.7% (3)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
66.7% (6)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Chmelevski has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chmelevski shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Chmelevski is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Hayton
Chmelevski
Home
48.8% (424)
34.5% (29)
Away
47.5% (438)
42.0% (50)
By Period
Hayton
Chmelevski
P1
52.9%
33.3%
P2
47.3%
45.5%
P3
44.1%
36.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Chmelevski
38.0%▬
38.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Sasha Chmelevski |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Sasha Chmelevski |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Sasha Chmelevski |