Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Dries 49.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dries 51.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 61.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Hayton
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Hayton
Dries
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Dries
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Dries
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Dries
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
49.1% (401)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.0% (60)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
50.0% (10)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Dries is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dries
Home
54.6% (639)
54.3% (265)
Away
47.2% (591)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Hayton
Dries
P1
50.9%
45.8%
P2
52.7%
54.3%
P3
49.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |