Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Blueger 48.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 68.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 65.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hayton
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
Blueger
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Hayton
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
50.2% (223)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.5% (8)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
31.9% (47)
+4.9%
On power play, Blueger has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Hayton
Blueger
Home
56.9% (432)
50.0% (192)
Away
47.4% (344)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Hayton
Blueger
P1
53.1%
46.2%
P2
50.3%
51.5%
P3
55.4%
43.2%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |