Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.4%). Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.7% vs Stützle 52.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 63.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 69.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.6%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayton
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Stützle
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
3
Hayton
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Hayton
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (628)
53.0% (485)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.3% (110)
55.2% (58)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
56.7% (30)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayton is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Hayton shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stützle
Home
57.9% (413)
52.5% (282)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Hayton
Stützle
P1
53.4%
52.1%
P2
50.9%
56.2%
P3
55.6%
52.0%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
54.0%▬
53.0%
53.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |