Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.4%). Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Stützle 52.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 55.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 77.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 58.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Hayton
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Stützle
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
3
Hayton
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Hayton
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
53.0% (485)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
55.2% (58)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
56.7% (30)
-19.9%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stützle
Home
56.9% (432)
52.5% (282)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Hayton
Stützle
P1
53.1%
52.1%
P2
50.3%
56.2%
P3
55.4%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |