Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Kozak 49.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 73.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 59.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Hayton
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayton
Kozak
Last 5: Hayton 3-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Hayton
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
49.4% (245)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
50.0% (4)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
48.1% (27)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Hayton is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Hayton shoots left. Kozak is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kozak
Home
57.8% (301)
44.7% (132)
Away
47.7% (266)
53.5% (144)
By Period
Hayton
Kozak
P1
52.6%
54.2%
P2
49.3%
48.0%
P3
58.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
59.8%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Kozak
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |