Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmstrom on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holmstrom 47.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 83.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 83.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
Last 6: Holmstrom 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmstrom
4
1
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (37)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.8% (3,445)
-58.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
51.4% (2,811)
-22.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Holmstrom is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Holmstrom shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
Home
37.5% (24)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
50.0% (22)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Holmstrom
O'Reilly
P1
40.0%
55.6%
P2
44.4%
57.0%
P3
50.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
71.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holmstrom
43.5%▬
43.5%
43.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Ben Holmstrom |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ben Holmstrom |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Ben Holmstrom |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Ben Holmstrom |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |