Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 52.0% vs Toews 60.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 67.9%
Defensive zone
Jones 78.9%
Neutral zone
Jones 58.5%
Result
Ben Jones favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Jones
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jones
Toews
Last 5: Jones 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Jones
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (118)
62.5% (696)
-10.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
59.6% (141)
+40.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
46.9% (32)
+10.2%
On power play, Jones has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jones is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Jones shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Jones
Toews
Home
51.4% (70)
60.9% (435)
Away
56.1% (57)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Jones
Toews
P1
54.2%
59.8%
P2
46.4%
65.7%
P3
56.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
53.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Ben Jones |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |