Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Minten 48.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 62.6%
Defensive zone
Minten 73.3%
Neutral zone
Minten 70.0%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kindel
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kindel
Minten
Last 5: Kindel 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
1
Kindel
Minten
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
48.8% (793)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
45.8% (59)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
34.0% (47)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Kindel
Minten
Home
46.1% (267)
51.2% (449)
Away
42.9% (273)
44.4% (450)
By Period
Kindel
Minten
P1
41.5%
44.0%
P2
45.8%
46.4%
P3
42.6%
52.1%
OT
91.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |