Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Tavares 57.2% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kindel 71.7%
Neutral zone
Kindel 71.8%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Kindel
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kindel
Tavares
Last 5: Kindel 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
1
0
Kindel
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kindel
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kindel
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
58.0% (914)
-14.9%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
57.0% (235)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
57.9% (19)
+2.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Kindel
Tavares
Home
46.1% (267)
57.8% (614)
Away
42.9% (273)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Kindel
Tavares
P1
41.5%
58.0%
P2
45.8%
56.9%
P3
42.6%
58.4%
OT
91.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |