Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 86.5%
Defensive zone
Kindel 87.7%
Neutral zone
Kindel 85.8%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Kindel
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kindel
Staal
Last 5: Kindel 0-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Kindel
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Kindel
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Kindel
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
55.9% (14,620)
-12.8%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
48.0% (2,896)
+12.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Kindel
Staal
Home
46.1% (267)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
42.9% (273)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Kindel
Staal
P1
41.5%
55.2%
P2
45.8%
55.9%
P3
42.6%
54.9%
OT
91.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |