Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 89.9%
Defensive zone
Kindel 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kindel 73.8%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Kindel
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kindel
Stenlund
Last 5: Kindel 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Kindel
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Kindel
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
56.1% (615)
-13.0%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
53.2% (47)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
52.1% (307)
+7.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kindel is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Kindel shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Kindel
Stenlund
Home
46.1% (267)
57.0% (458)
Away
42.9% (273)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Kindel
Stenlund
P1
41.5%
55.1%
P2
45.8%
53.3%
P3
42.6%
56.4%
OT
91.7%
42.1%
Final 5 min
39.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |