Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs McTavish 48.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 67.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kindel 62.5%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Kindel
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kindel
McTavish
Last 7: Kindel 2-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kindel
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Kindel
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
48.2% (2,788)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
52.6% (435)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
34.3% (35)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Kindel
McTavish
Home
46.1% (267)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
42.9% (273)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Kindel
McTavish
P1
41.5%
50.0%
P2
45.8%
47.8%
P3
42.6%
48.4%
OT
91.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |