Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 90.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.5%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Kindel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kindel
Dowd
Last 6: Kindel 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kindel
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Kindel
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
52.4% (6,009)
-9.3%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
56.1% (164)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
44.1% (1,635)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kindel is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Kindel shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Kindel
Dowd
Home
46.1% (267)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
42.9% (273)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Kindel
Dowd
P1
41.5%
51.7%
P2
45.8%
50.4%
P3
42.6%
50.3%
OT
91.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |